A New Analogy for Peak Oil and Gas Prices

Posted by admin on January 31st, 2010 and filed under oil production peak | 4 Comments »

Peak Oil is the point of maximum production rates… it is not about “Running out of oil”

When peak oil production is reached, and demand for oil continues to soar. Then the price of oil will continue to go up.

Links in the Video:

Bakken Formation (wiki): http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bakken_Formation

Video on Energy-Return-Over-Invested: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ztgz-QOOrs8

Duration : 0:5:26

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MC PAUL BARMAN – OIL! (production MF DOOM)

Posted by admin on January 31st, 2010 and filed under oil production | 2 Comments »

Quite possibly MC Paul Barman’s most important work to date–Oil chronicles the impending peak oil/climate change crisis humanity currently faces. Production by MF DOOM.

In memory of Thomas Sankara, African hero.
Dedicated to revolutionaries and environmentalists worldwide.

Duration : 0:2:13

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Congressman Roscoe Bartlett on Peak Oil [Part 5]

Posted by admin on January 28th, 2010 and filed under peak oil production | 1 Comment »

(April 4th, 2008) Congressman Roscoe Bartlett [R-MD] takes the floor of the U.S. House of Representatives to speak about Energy.

Congressman Roscoe Bartlett on Peak Oil [Part 1]
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7lwkyqFB-34
Congressman Roscoe Bartlett on Peak Oil [Part 2]
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=506-2_zxYns
Congressman Roscoe Bartlett on Peak Oil [Part 3]
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YyliwrgbLvo
Congressman Roscoe Bartlett on Peak Oil [Part 4]
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DwEZqOek0KQ
Congressman Roscoe Bartlett on Peak Oil [Part 5]
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QNYNuGlDXLo
Congressman Roscoe Bartlett on Peak Oil [Part 6]
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=llQIfZXt_88
Congressman Roscoe Bartlett on Peak Oil [Part 7]
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WvAdLvaCx70

TRANSCRIPT
http://www.c-spanarchives.org/congress/?q=node/77531&id=8519674

Not exactly Jeffersonian, is he? Keep in mind Ron Paul’s tip: price of gold and price of oil, parallel lines, fiat-money and price of oil, a roller coaster (fasten your paper-belts).

HIGHLIGHTS

- Ratio of energy available and growth in population… an imbalance between supply and demand [and a debased currency].

- Peak of oil production and compound interest. The U.S. has 2% of the known reserves of oil in the world and uses a fourth [25%] of the world’s oil. China is buying up oil reserves wherever they can find them.

- The Hirsch Report by SAIC: The world has never faced a problem like this [Psycho screeching violins].

- Alternatives. Nuclear. Solar and wind energy. Wood. Conventional hydro. Alcohol fuel. The hydrogen economy and the corn ethanol bubble. Geothermal. The tar sands in Canada. The tides. Oil shales. Coal. Breeder reactors. Nuclear fusion. Biomass.

- The Drive Act [will make things worse]. Can’t get no satisfaction.

SIDE NOTE: $42 a gallon

“Last year alone, the American forces in Iraq burned through more than 1.1 billion gallons of fuel… A study produced by the U.S. Military Academy estimated that delivering one gallon of fuel to U.S. soldiers in Iraq cost American taxpayers $42 — and that doesn’t include the costs of the fuel itself… the U.S. is spending $923 million per week on fuel-related logistics in Iraq.”
http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/oil-iraq-war/1208

Duration : 0:7:28

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Oil Production has peaked

Posted by admin on January 28th, 2010 and filed under global oil production | 2 Comments »

Has Oil Production has peaked?

Hubbert Peak Web Site
http://www.hubbertpeak.com/

Duration : 0:9:17

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Toyota’s Jim Lentz Predicts Peak Oil by 2020

Posted by admin on January 21st, 2010 and filed under peak oil production | 12 Comments »

Complete video at: http://fora.tv/2009/11/17/The_Future_of_the_Auto_Industry_with_Toyotas_James_Lentz

James Lentz, President and COO of Toyota Motor Sales, predicts “we will probably see peak oil sometime around the end of the next decade.” Foreseeing a steady rise in the cost of gasoline, Lentz advocates for the continued development of alternatives to oil such as battery power and fuel cells.

—–

Though the auto industry seemed on the brink of collapse, the recent Cash for Clunkers program arguably helped to jump-start the car economy and get wheels moving again. But what does this really mean for cars and drivers today?

During the recession, will the demand for smarter, cleaner models continue, or will people choose to skimp on driving altogether? Industry veteran James Lentz will discuss the future of cars in America. – Commonwealth Club of California

Jim Lentz is president and chief operating officer of Toyota Motor Sales (TMS), U.S.A., Inc. Lentz is also a member of the companys board of directors, and serves in a global advisory capacity as managing officer for the parent company Toyota Motor Corporation in Japan.

He has overall responsibility for sales, marketing and distribution for Toyota, Scion and Lexus products in the United States, in addition to overseeing all corporate matters at TMS.

Lentz attended the University of Denver where he earned a bachelor’s degree in marketing and economics and a Masters in Business Administration Finance.

Duration : 0:2:5

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Matt Simmons (Bloomberg): Peak Oil Now, Oil Perhaps to $300

Posted by admin on January 14th, 2010 and filed under peak oil production | 13 Comments »

Matthew Simmons, chairman of Simmons & Co. International in Houston, talked yesterday with Bloomberg’s Rhonda Schaffler about the need to address energy use, his view that global supply has peaked and the likelihood oil prices could reach as much as $300 a barrel. (Source: Bloomberg)

Duration : 0:5:40

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Peak Oil by Jay Hanson pt2

Posted by admin on January 14th, 2010 and filed under global oil production | 6 Comments »

http://www.warsocialism.com/

“SHORTAGE OF ENERGY” or “LONGAGE OF PEOPLE”?

By Jay Hanson, August 21, 2007
to discuss the issues raised in this paper http://tech.groups.yahoo.com/group/the_dieoff_QA

Longage is always soluble; a shortage may not be. — Garrett Hardin

There is a crime here that goes beyond denunciation.
There is a sorrow here that weeping cannot symbolize.
There is a failure here that topples all our success. — John Steinbeck

A specter is haunting developed countries, the specter of “peak oil.” If you were born after 1960, you will probably die of violence, starvation or contagious disease. This is because our genetic demand for more-and-more resources, within a physical environment of less-and-less “net energy”[1] available for those resources, will inevitably lead to widespread violence and global nuclear war.

Geologists have calculated that global oil production [2] and North American natural gas production [3] are peaking about now. American coal is expected to peak about 2035.[4] No alternative — even nuclear [5] — has the potential to replace more than a tiny fraction of the power presently generated by fossil fuels.

America was specifically designed by special interests (e.g., General Motors, Firestone and Standard Oil) to require fossil fuel and automobiles [6] to be viable. The exhaustion of fossil fuel will leave many millions of Americans with no access to food or water and facing certain death. For example, ten or more millions of people in Southern California alone will die within a couple of days after drinking their toilet tanks and swimming pools dry.

Since it’s literally impossible to increase global net energy production, the only approaches which can mitigate this problem are national — to either increase national net energy, or reduce national energy demand, or both. The primary goal of American public policy should be to minimize the suffering [7] of as many American citizens as possible by delivering basic “needs”[8] gratis. Unfortunately, our democratic [9] form of government can not direct us to any specific goal because it is “process politics” instead of “systems politics”:
“As the name implies, process politics emphasizes the adequacy and fairness of the rules governing the process of politics. If the process is fair, then, as in a trial conducted according to due process, the outcome is assumed to be just — or at least the best the system can achieve. By contrast, systems politics is concerned primarily with desired outcomes; means are subordinated to predetermined ends.”[10]

Indeed, all measures that our present government takes to mitigate our problems will make them even worse! [11] Since our present government can not direct us to any specific goal, the first step in mitigation must be to invent a new systems politics. In other words, dump our present “special interest” government in favor of a new “common interest” government based on a new set of values:

“In brief, liberal democracy as we know it — that is, our theory or ‘paradigm’ of politics — is doomed by ecological scarcity; we need a completely new political philosophy and set of political institutions. Moreover, it appears that the basic principles of modern industrial civilization are also incompatible with ecological scarcity and that the whole ideology of modernity growing out of the Enlightenment, especially such central tenets as individualism, may no longer be viable.”[12]

The closest example in our experience was the country on a war footing during World War Two when our economy was directed towards the specific goal of winning the war. Moreover, even if the entire economy were directed towards developing renewable energy supplies, it would be a significant challenge to avoid anarchy because energy available for consumer goods could fall to about 30% of demand:
http://www.warsocialism.com/

Duration : 0:6:20

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Peak Oil – IST440W Final Video

Posted by admin on December 31st, 2009 and filed under oil production peak | 1 Comment »

Mad Props to: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gHKp5vF_VoE
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ImV1voi41YY = Hubbert

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YeJg1kiV-x8 = Pure Oil

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AujKjcGGaOA = Oil Pumps
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4YXu_TzvusM = 3D Oil Platform

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=489IEnzg6GU = Hirsch Talking on CNBC
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hXvUz6TJH8g = Fast clock
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tWJ5mgmxL-k = Traffic videos
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MASZWRiJFxM = Spraying
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=65KLN5gDHzI = Crop dusting
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nKnJJRy3a38
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pyXk7Mk1mas
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eXIHUTw_E0s
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HjJHxexMmnI
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OYG0jYEvrEQ
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hq92BI8FuW4

Duration : 0:9:26

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Peak Oil, Climate Change, Economy: Unsustainable 2010 (HQ Version)

Posted by admin on December 31st, 2009 and filed under world oil production | 1 Comment »

Music by Muse, Exogenesis from the album Resistance.

http://www.facebook.com/onearth
The latest video from Sustainable Earth. Includes new reports from government, the military, intelligence agencies and major NGO’s. It ends on a positive note; the reality of consequence will finally free humanity from short-term thinking.

I looked at literally dozens of reports for this short video…in the end I picked the most credible and those that summed up the prevailing thinking of the world’s best experts. Unfortunately it was impossible to include every detail; this is just an introduction to the subject. For further reading the files which make up this video are below.

Hirsch Report Peaking of World Oil Production: Impacts, Mitigation, and Risk Management (US Dept of Energy): http://www.netl.doe.gov/publications/others/pdf/Oil_Peaking_NETL.pdf

Energy Trends and Implications for U.S. Army Installations(US Marine Corp): http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA440265

Global Oil Depletion (UK Energy Research Centre): http://www.ukerc.ac.uk/support/Global%20Oil%20Depletion

Coming Oil Supply Crunch(Chatham House): http://www.chathamhouse.org.uk/publications/papers/view/-/id/652/

Peak Oil: A Survey of Security Concerns(Center for New American Security):http://www.cnas.org/node/26

Global Trends 2025: A World Transformed(US National Intelligence Council/Director of National Intelligence):
http://www.dni.gov/nic/NIC_2025_project.html

DCDC Strategic Trends 2007-2036(UK Ministry of Defence): http://www.mod.uk/DefenceInternet/MicroSite/DCDC/OurPublications/StrategicTrends+Programme/

Global Atmosphere Watch Strategic Plan: 2008 – 2015 (World Meteorological Programme United Nations): http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/gaw/gaw_home_en.html

The Great Transition(New Economics Foundation): http://www.neweconomics.org/publications/the-great-transition

Music by Muse: Exogenesis from album Resistance http://muse.mu/

Duration : 0:10:18

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Richard Duncan speaks on Peak Oil and Olduvai Theory

Posted by admin on December 26th, 2009 and filed under peak oil production | No Comments »

Richard Duncan, Institute on Energy and Man, speaks on Peak Oil and Olduvai Theory at a Social Contract conference on September 30, 2007: www.TheSocialContract.com .

Richard Duncan presents Peak Oil data, which indicate that we are at or near Peak Oil. We have been used to a 100% increase in world oil production since 1970; that’s what we’re used to, that’s what we want, and that’s what we’ll never get.

Geologist Walter Youngquist says we’re now in depletion dominance: it dominates technological change, investment capital – it dominates everything.

Think of the Olduvai Theory this way: you have a video of world history from pre-history until 2010. Then you stop the camera and then you play the video backwards. As awful as this is, one must remember that the Copernican Throry was rejected for over 200 years before being accepted. The Olduvai Theory explains how population, immigration, etc., will adjust to the local ecological carrying capacity worldwide, and that localities will be completely dependent upon solar energy.

For more presentations at this Social Contract event, see
Mike Hethmon, IRLI, part 1: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oPzstO-xWR8
Mike Hethmon, IRLI, part 2: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dMgvDwwYo1E
Jim Edwards on the SPP: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BZcJIJJIs8E

For more information on the Social Contract, see http://www.TheSocialContract.com

Duration : 0:8:22

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